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LATEST COMMENTARY

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FIVE THINGS TO KNOW

7:23 AM5-minute read

ABOUT LINO CAYETANO AND THE CHANGE AT THE PCO

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. announced on October 11 that Lino Cayetano would replace Dave Gomez at the Presidential Communications Office. He said Gomez had been bypassed by the Commission on Appointments and that the change would be formalized when they returned from Singapore.

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6:10 PM4-minute read

ABOUT THE DISPUTE OVER CHANGING THE ORDER OF IMPEACHMENT WITNESSES

The argument at Thursday’s impeachment hearing was about which witness the prosecution could present next. It began with an absent lawyer and became a dispute over preparation and notice. Understanding the exchange helps explain why a courtroom can pause even when the parties, documents and another potential witness are already in the building.

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3:01 PM3-minute read

ABOUT MARK VILLAR’S MOVE TO THE SENATE MAJORITY

Senator Mark Villar has formally left the Senate minority and joined the majority. The October 8 move strengthens the bloc supporting the chamber’s leadership and gives Villar two significant positions. Its implications for Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial, however, require more than counting political allies.

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9:56 AM4-minute read

ABOUT THE MANAGER’S CHECKS AND THE QUESTIONS OVER SARA DUTERTE’S SALN

A bank balance can fall even when the value represented by the money has not disappeared. That distinction sits behind the prosecution’s questions about manager’s checks in Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial. To understand the October 7 testimony, we need to follow the instrument, the person entitled to its value and the declaration of assets for the relevant year.

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9:08 PM3-minute read

ABOUT WHAT COA’S REJECTION OF THE OVP APPEAL MEANS

COA has rejected the request to reconsider the ₱73.287-million disallowance involving the Office of the Vice President’s December 2022 confidential expenses. The October 5 resolution became public on October 7. Its significance is easier to understand when the amount, the audit finding and the available legal remedies are kept separate.

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7:47 AM3-minute read

ABOUT WHAT BANK SECRECY PROTECTS IN AN IMPEACHMENT TRIAL

The arguments over bank records in Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial involve several protections. The privacy of a peso deposit, the protection of a foreign-currency deposit, and the confidentiality of a report sent to the AMLC come from different rules. Understanding those differences helps explain what the court has allowed and what remains in dispute.

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8:43 AM8-minute read

ABOUT THE AMLC RECORDS IN SARA DUTERTE’S IMPEACHMENT TRIAL

₱4.4 billion is a figure that can dominate a conversation before anyone asks what it counts. AMLC Executive Director Ronel Buenaventura presented that approximate total in the Senate impeachment court on October 5, covering reported transactions involving Vice President Sara Duterte and her husband, Manases Carpio. He also explained that a bank correction had reduced the earlier figure of ₱6.7 billion.

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6:44 PM5-minute read

ABOUT THE COINS.PH CASH-IN RESTRICTION AND WHAT USERS SHOULD CHECK

If you use Coins.ph to receive money or pay bills, a failed cash-in can disrupt plans for the day. Coins.ph has announced that some incoming peso services are temporarily unavailable following a BSP directive to improve its internal controls. Its advisory also identifies services that existing customers can still use.

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12:00 PM5-minute read

ABOUT THE PROPOSED RULES ON SECONDHAND PHONES

A secondhand phone can put a useful device within reach of someone who cannot afford a new one. The problem comes when the buyer has no clear information about where it came from, what condition it is in, or who will fix it if it fails.

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8:35 PM6-minute read

ABOUT THE SUPREME COURT’S DECISION ON THE IMPEACHMENT VOTE THRESHOLD

The Supreme Court dismissed three petitions on September 30 challenging how the Senate impeachment court would count the votes needed to convict Vice President Sara Duterte. The dismissal leaves the Senate’s September 23 ruling in place, but it needs to be read carefully. A case can be dismissed because it does not meet the requirements for the Court to hear it, without settling whether the challenged action is constitutional.

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6:12 AM6-minute read

ABOUT WHAT BASTE DUTERTE SHOULD HAVE CHECKED AS MAYOR

Davao City Mayor Sebastian “Baste” Duterte told the Senate impeachment court on September 29 that he had been unfamiliar with GenCorp Industries Inc. before it came up in the proceedings. He also said he did not know about Vice President Sara Duterte’s declared business interest in the company.

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10:45 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE OCTOBER WATER-RATE INCREASES

Metro Manila households served by Maynilad and Manila Water will see slightly higher water charges beginning October 1. The announced increases are small for many residential customers, but the figures vary by concessionaire and consumption level. That makes it easy to misunderstand a notice expressed only in centavos per cubic meter.

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7:21 AM6-minute read

ABOUT THE NOTE HANDED TO GIBO TEODORO IN SEOUL

Defense Secretary Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro Jr. was answering questions at the Seoul Defense Dialogue on September 8 when a man handed him a note. He read it aloud, challenged its rejection of the 2016 South China Sea ruling and objected to being interrupted that way.

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9:55 AM8-minute read

ABOUT EL NIÑO AND PREPARING FOR LESS RAIN

It can be raining outside while PAGASA warns about El Niño. That can sound confusing when the immediate problem is a wet road or a flooded field. The two warnings describe different periods: the weather happening now and the rainfall conditions that may develop over the coming months.

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5:30 AM8-minute read

ABOUT THE NEW ARREST WARRANTS AGAINST ZALDY CO, MARTIN ROMUALDEZ AND TWO OTHERS

The Sandiganbayan has ordered the arrest of Zaldy Co, Martin Romualdez and two other accused in the plunder case filed on September 7. By Monday evening, authorities had served Romualdez's warrant and carried out booking procedures at Cardinal Santos Medical Center in San Juan. His arrest is a confirmed development; it does not establish that his three co-accused are also in custody.

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3:15 PM8-minute read

ABOUT THE PLUNDER CASE AGAINST MARTIN ROMUALDEZ

The Office of the Ombudsman filed a plunder case against former House Speaker Martin Romualdez at the Sandiganbayan on September 7 over his alleged involvement in flood-control kickbacks. The accusations have now reached the court that will handle the criminal case. Romualdez denies wrongdoing and remains presumed innocent.

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1:18 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE NEW SWS POVERTY NUMBERS

Self-rated poverty and food poverty declined in June, but the figures also show how many Filipino families remain under pressure and why lower household budgets do not necessarily mean life became cheaper.

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2:02 PM11-minute read

ABOUT THE CHILDREN'S SOCIAL MEDIA SAFETY ACT

House Bill No. 9965 would bar children below 13 from having social media accounts, require parental consent for users aged 13 to 17, regulate platform algorithms, and impose fines reaching P50 million. It is still being deliberated in the House.

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12:02 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE SEALED BIR BOX

Marcos authorized the BIR to comply with the Senate subpoena. That did not open the records to the public or prove the unexplained-wealth allegation.

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MCT READER PULSE · MCT-PULSE-2026-014

MCT READER SURVEY

Sang-ayon ka ba sa desisyon ng prosekusyon na i-withdraw ang tatlo sa apat na impeachment article laban kay Sara Duterte at ituloy lamang ang Article II?

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This is an informal survey of people who choose to participate. It is not a scientific or nationally representative sample.

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August 16, 2026 · 1:18 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE NEW SWS POVERTY NUMBERS

Self-rated poverty and food poverty declined in June, but the figures also show how many Filipino families remain under pressure and why lower household budgets do not necessarily mean life became cheaper.

MCT cover showing rice, vegetables, pork, dried fish, tomatoes, onions and a budget notebook on an ordinary Filipino kitchen table

Fewer Filipino families described themselves as poor or food-poor in June 2026 than three months earlier, according to the latest Social Weather Stations survey.

That is welcome news. It does not mean, however, that poverty has disappeared or that everyday expenses have become easy to manage.

The survey also found that the amount families said they needed for basic expenses became smaller. SWS warned that this may reflect belt-tightening and lower living standards rather than cheaper living costs.

Here are five things ordinary readers should understand about the new figures.

1

NEARLY HALF OF FILIPINO FAMILIES STILL CONSIDER THEMSELVES POOR

The June 2026 SWS survey found that 49 percent of Filipino families considered themselves poor. This was three percentage points lower than the 52 percent recorded in March.

SWS estimated that the number of self-rated poor families declined from about 14.5 million to 13.6 million. Another 14 percent placed themselves on the borderline between poor and not poor, while 37 percent considered themselves not poor.

The decline is meaningful because it represents roughly 900,000 fewer families describing their condition as poor. The national result, however, still means that almost one out of every two families believes its income and living conditions are inadequate.

The survey interviewed 1,200 adults nationwide. Its national percentages have a sampling margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points, so small changes should be read with care.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch the next quarterly SWS survey. A continuing decline would be more encouraging than a single movement between two surveys.

2

SELF-RATED POVERTY IS DIFFERENT FROM THE OFFICIAL PSA POVERTY RATE

SWS asks respondents to place their own families on a card marked poor, not poor or on the borderline. The result reflects how people judge their actual living conditions and whether their income meets what they believe their family needs.

The Philippine Statistics Authority uses a different method. It compares measured family income with an official poverty threshold based on the cost of basic food and non-food needs.

The latest complete official poverty statistics cover 2023. The PSA estimated that 10.9 percent of Filipino families were poor that year. This cannot be directly compared with the 49 percent SWS figure because the two measures use different standards and refer to different periods.

Both figures are useful. The PSA rate estimates how many families fall below an official income threshold. The SWS result shows how many families feel that their actual resources are insufficient, even when some may sit above the official line.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch for the PSA's 2025 Family Income and Expenditure Survey results, expected in August 2026. They will provide a newer official estimate of poverty and household income.

3

FEWER FAMILIES CALLED THEMSELVES FOOD-POOR, BUT PRESSURE REMAINS

The proportion of families that considered themselves food-poor fell from 42 percent in March to 36 percent in June. SWS estimated that the number declined from about 11.7 million to 10.2 million families.

Another 15 percent placed themselves on the food borderline, up from 12 percent. The remaining 49 percent considered themselves not food-poor.

The improvement does not mean food became inexpensive. PSA data show that food inflation for households in the bottom 30 percent of the income distribution reached 8.2 percent in June 2026. These are the families that spend a larger share of their money on food.

Slower inflation, when it occurs, only means prices are increasing more slowly. It does not automatically return rice, vegetables, meat and other necessities to their old prices.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch monthly food inflation and the next SWS hunger survey. Families may describe themselves as less food-poor while still reducing portions, changing what they eat or borrowing money for food.

4

THE NATIONAL NUMBER HIDES LARGE REGIONAL DIFFERENCES

Self-rated poverty was highest in Mindanao at 61 percent and the Visayas at 59 percent. It was lower in Balance Luzon at 41 percent and Metro Manila at 40 percent.

Self-rated food poverty was 45 percent in both Mindanao and the Visayas, compared with 31 percent in Balance Luzon and 27 percent in Metro Manila.

The Visayas recorded the largest declines between March and June: seven percentage points for self-rated poverty and nine points for self-rated food poverty.

Regional results come from 300 respondents in each broad area and have a sampling margin of error of plus or minus six percentage points. They identify important differences, but one regional movement should not be treated as a precise count of every province or city.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch whether the regional changes appear again in later SWS surveys and whether official employment, wage and poverty figures point in the same direction.

5

A LOWER POVERTY BUDGET DOES NOT AUTOMATICALLY MEAN LIFE BECAME CHEAPER

Among families that considered themselves poor, the median amount they said they needed each month for basic expenses fell from P15,000 in March to P14,000 in June.

Among food-poor families, the median monthly amount they said they needed for food fell from P8,000 to P6,000.

SWS warned that falling thresholds may reflect belt-tightening and lower living standards. A family may report needing less because it has stopped buying certain food, delayed medical care, reduced transport, taken children out of activities or accepted a more limited standard of living.

The amounts also differ sharply by location. In Metro Manila, poor families gave a median general poverty threshold of P21,000 and a median food-poverty threshold of P15,000.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch wages, household income and the detailed 2025 FIES results. A genuine improvement should eventually show families earning more and meeting their needs without continually lowering what they consider an acceptable budget.

BOTTOM LINE

The June SWS results moved in a positive direction, but they do not support the conclusion that poverty is no longer a major problem. About 13.6 million families still described themselves as poor, and about 10.2 million described themselves as food-poor. The fall in the budgets families said they needed deserves particular attention. It may reflect adaptation to hardship rather than lower prices or improved living conditions. The next SWS surveys, the PSA's updated poverty figures, food prices, wages and household income will show whether this is the beginning of lasting progress or only a temporary improvement in how families described their situation.

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