NEW FROM MCT · CONTINUING RECORDThe Sara Duterte Impeachment TrialFollow the hearing day by day, read the documents in plain language and see what each side says, what remains disputed and what the courts have actually decided.I’m still working through parts of the record. Published material is based on documents already reviewed, and anything awaiting confirmation is clearly marked.Open the tracker →

LATEST COMMENTARY

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FIVE THINGS TO KNOW

6:44 PM5-minute read

ABOUT THE COINS.PH CASH-IN RESTRICTION AND WHAT USERS SHOULD CHECK

If you use Coins.ph to receive money or pay bills, a failed cash-in can disrupt plans for the day. Coins.ph has announced that some incoming peso services are temporarily unavailable following a BSP directive to improve its internal controls. Its advisory also identifies services that existing customers can still use.

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12:00 PM5-minute read

ABOUT THE PROPOSED RULES ON SECONDHAND PHONES

A secondhand phone can put a useful device within reach of someone who cannot afford a new one. The problem comes when the buyer has no clear information about where it came from, what condition it is in, or who will fix it if it fails.

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8:35 PM6-minute read

ABOUT THE SUPREME COURT’S DECISION ON THE IMPEACHMENT VOTE THRESHOLD

The Supreme Court dismissed three petitions on September 30 challenging how the Senate impeachment court would count the votes needed to convict Vice President Sara Duterte. The dismissal leaves the Senate’s September 23 ruling in place, but it needs to be read carefully. A case can be dismissed because it does not meet the requirements for the Court to hear it, without settling whether the challenged action is constitutional.

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6:12 AM6-minute read

ABOUT WHAT BASTE DUTERTE SHOULD HAVE CHECKED AS MAYOR

Davao City Mayor Sebastian “Baste” Duterte told the Senate impeachment court on September 29 that he had been unfamiliar with GenCorp Industries Inc. before it came up in the proceedings. He also said he did not know about Vice President Sara Duterte’s declared business interest in the company.

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10:45 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE OCTOBER WATER-RATE INCREASES

Metro Manila households served by Maynilad and Manila Water will see slightly higher water charges beginning October 1. The announced increases are small for many residential customers, but the figures vary by concessionaire and consumption level. That makes it easy to misunderstand a notice expressed only in centavos per cubic meter.

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7:21 AM6-minute read

ABOUT THE NOTE HANDED TO GIBO TEODORO IN SEOUL

Defense Secretary Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro Jr. was answering questions at the Seoul Defense Dialogue on September 8 when a man handed him a note. He read it aloud, challenged its rejection of the 2016 South China Sea ruling and objected to being interrupted that way.

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9:55 AM8-minute read

ABOUT EL NIÑO AND PREPARING FOR LESS RAIN

It can be raining outside while PAGASA warns about El Niño. That can sound confusing when the immediate problem is a wet road or a flooded field. The two warnings describe different periods: the weather happening now and the rainfall conditions that may develop over the coming months.

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5:30 AM8-minute read

ABOUT THE NEW ARREST WARRANTS AGAINST ZALDY CO, MARTIN ROMUALDEZ AND TWO OTHERS

The Sandiganbayan has ordered the arrest of Zaldy Co, Martin Romualdez and two other accused in the plunder case filed on September 7. By Monday evening, authorities had served Romualdez's warrant and carried out booking procedures at Cardinal Santos Medical Center in San Juan. His arrest is a confirmed development; it does not establish that his three co-accused are also in custody.

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3:15 PM8-minute read

ABOUT THE PLUNDER CASE AGAINST MARTIN ROMUALDEZ

The Office of the Ombudsman filed a plunder case against former House Speaker Martin Romualdez at the Sandiganbayan on September 7 over his alleged involvement in flood-control kickbacks. The accusations have now reached the court that will handle the criminal case. Romualdez denies wrongdoing and remains presumed innocent.

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1:18 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE NEW SWS POVERTY NUMBERS

Self-rated poverty and food poverty declined in June, but the figures also show how many Filipino families remain under pressure and why lower household budgets do not necessarily mean life became cheaper.

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2:02 PM11-minute read

ABOUT THE CHILDREN'S SOCIAL MEDIA SAFETY ACT

House Bill No. 9965 would bar children below 13 from having social media accounts, require parental consent for users aged 13 to 17, regulate platform algorithms, and impose fines reaching P50 million. It is still being deliberated in the House.

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12:02 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE SEALED BIR BOX

Marcos authorized the BIR to comply with the Senate subpoena. That did not open the records to the public or prove the unexplained-wealth allegation.

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MCT READER PULSE · MCT-PULSE-2026-010

MCT READER SURVEY

If the Philippine presidential election were held today, who would you vote for as President and Vice President?

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This is an informal survey of people who choose to participate. It is not a scientific or nationally representative sample.

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August 21, 2026 · 8:39 AM5-minute read

ABOUT ORLY GUTEZA'S RECANTATION

Orly Guteza has withdrawn his earlier accusation. Here is what a recantation changes, what it does not prove, and what the Ombudsman still needs to examine.

Two affidavit pages labeled Earlier Affidavit and Recantation on an evidence table beside the Five Things to Know title.

Orly Guteza has withdrawn the accusation that made him a central witness in the flood-control controversy. In a new affidavit reportedly dated August 13, he took back his earlier claim that he delivered suitcases of cash to former House Speaker Martin Romualdez and former Ako Bicol Representative Zaldy Co. He also alleged that Senator Rodante Marcoleta and former Anakalusugan Representative Mike Defensor helped prepare or coach his earlier account.

The new affidavit changes the evidentiary picture, but it does not settle the case. Here are five things readers should understand before accepting anyone's preferred conclusion.

1

A RECANTATION DOES NOT AUTOMATICALLY ERASE THE EARLIER STATEMENT

Philippine courts generally treat recantations with caution. A witness cannot always make an earlier statement disappear simply by signing a new affidavit that contradicts it.

Investigators and courts compare the two versions. They examine when each was made, whether the witness had personal knowledge, how specific the account was, whether it was voluntary, and whether other evidence supports it.

The Supreme Court has repeatedly warned that recantations can be unreliable because witnesses may be pressured, paid, frightened, or persuaded to change their story. That does not mean every recantation is false. It means the second statement must be tested instead of automatically accepted.

For readers, the practical rule is simple: a changed affidavit creates a credibility problem that investigators must resolve. It is not an eraser.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch whether Guteza is placed under oath and questioned about both versions, including exactly why he changed his account and who was present when each affidavit was prepared.

2

THE ORIGINAL ACCOUNT ALREADY HAD A SERIOUS AUTHENTICATION PROBLEM

Before the recantation, the first affidavit was already under scrutiny because the lawyer whose name appeared as the notary reportedly denied notarizing it. A Manila executive judge later recommended a preliminary investigation for possible falsification.

That defect does not automatically prove every factual claim in the document was false. It does raise an obvious question about how the affidavit was produced and whether normal safeguards were bypassed.

The new allegation that other political figures helped prepare the earlier statement makes the document trail even more important. Investigators should identify who drafted it, who arranged the signing, who supplied the details, and how the disputed notarization entered the record.

WHAT TO WATCH

Look for handwriting, electronic files, messages, meeting records, travel records, and testimony from the people involved in preparing and handling both affidavits.

3

THE RECANTATION DOES NOT BY ITSELF CLEAR ROMUALDEZ OR CO

Guteza's withdrawal weakens any case that depends heavily on his earlier account. It does not establish that Romualdez or Co is innocent of every allegation connected to flood-control funds.

The Ombudsman's preliminary investigation into alleged kickbacks must be assessed on the whole record. That may include procurement documents, financial records, contractor testimony, communications, project inspections, and evidence from witnesses other than Guteza.

Romualdez and Co have denied the accusations. Those denials, Guteza's first account, and his recantation all need to be tested against independent evidence.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch whether the Ombudsman identifies evidence that stands without Guteza. If the case has no meaningful support beyond his disputed statement, that should become clear. If documents and other witnesses corroborate parts of the allegation, the recantation will not end the inquiry.

4

THE NEW ACCUSATIONS AGAINST MARCOLETA AND DEFENSOR ARE STILL ALLEGATIONS

The same caution must apply to Guteza's new story. His claim that Marcoleta and Defensor coached him or helped manufacture the earlier accusation is not proven merely because it appears in a later affidavit.

If investigators rejected the first statement without testing it, they would be careless. If they accepted the second statement without testing it, they would repeat the same mistake.

Marcoleta and Defensor must be given the chance to answer. Investigators must then look for communications, witnesses, drafts, schedules, or other records that could confirm or contradict Guteza's new account.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch for independent proof of meetings or coordination, and for formal responses from Marcoleta and Defensor. Political reactions are not substitutes for evidence.

5

AFFIDAVITS ARE STARTING POINTS, NOT COMPLETE PROOF

An affidavit records what a person says. It is not automatically the same as tested testimony. In court, the witness may have to appear, identify the statement, explain inconsistencies, and answer questions from the other side.

The Supreme Court has emphasized that affidavits are generally treated as hearsay unless the person who made them is presented as a witness. The precise rules depend on the proceeding, and an Ombudsman preliminary investigation is not the same as a full criminal trial. Even so, the core lesson is useful: signed paper cannot replace corroboration and questioning when the story keeps changing.

For the public, this is where patience becomes necessary. The loudest interpretation may arrive first, but the evidentiary record takes longer to build.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch whether Guteza appears before the Ombudsman or another proper forum, whether he is questioned on both affidavits, and whether investigators preserve the records needed to test his claims.

BOTTOM LINE

Guteza's recantation damages his credibility and forces investigators to reexamine the role his first statement played in the case. It does not automatically clear Romualdez and Co, and it does not prove the new accusations against Marcoleta and Defensor. The proper response is to compare both accounts with evidence that does not change when a witness changes his mind.

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