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LATEST COMMENTARY

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FIVE THINGS TO KNOW

7:23 AM5-minute read

ABOUT LINO CAYETANO AND THE CHANGE AT THE PCO

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. announced on October 11 that Lino Cayetano would replace Dave Gomez at the Presidential Communications Office. He said Gomez had been bypassed by the Commission on Appointments and that the change would be formalized when they returned from Singapore.

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6:10 PM4-minute read

ABOUT THE DISPUTE OVER CHANGING THE ORDER OF IMPEACHMENT WITNESSES

The argument at Thursday’s impeachment hearing was about which witness the prosecution could present next. It began with an absent lawyer and became a dispute over preparation and notice. Understanding the exchange helps explain why a courtroom can pause even when the parties, documents and another potential witness are already in the building.

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3:01 PM3-minute read

ABOUT MARK VILLAR’S MOVE TO THE SENATE MAJORITY

Senator Mark Villar has formally left the Senate minority and joined the majority. The October 8 move strengthens the bloc supporting the chamber’s leadership and gives Villar two significant positions. Its implications for Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial, however, require more than counting political allies.

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9:56 AM4-minute read

ABOUT THE MANAGER’S CHECKS AND THE QUESTIONS OVER SARA DUTERTE’S SALN

A bank balance can fall even when the value represented by the money has not disappeared. That distinction sits behind the prosecution’s questions about manager’s checks in Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial. To understand the October 7 testimony, we need to follow the instrument, the person entitled to its value and the declaration of assets for the relevant year.

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9:08 PM3-minute read

ABOUT WHAT COA’S REJECTION OF THE OVP APPEAL MEANS

COA has rejected the request to reconsider the ₱73.287-million disallowance involving the Office of the Vice President’s December 2022 confidential expenses. The October 5 resolution became public on October 7. Its significance is easier to understand when the amount, the audit finding and the available legal remedies are kept separate.

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7:47 AM3-minute read

ABOUT WHAT BANK SECRECY PROTECTS IN AN IMPEACHMENT TRIAL

The arguments over bank records in Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial involve several protections. The privacy of a peso deposit, the protection of a foreign-currency deposit, and the confidentiality of a report sent to the AMLC come from different rules. Understanding those differences helps explain what the court has allowed and what remains in dispute.

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8:43 AM8-minute read

ABOUT THE AMLC RECORDS IN SARA DUTERTE’S IMPEACHMENT TRIAL

₱4.4 billion is a figure that can dominate a conversation before anyone asks what it counts. AMLC Executive Director Ronel Buenaventura presented that approximate total in the Senate impeachment court on October 5, covering reported transactions involving Vice President Sara Duterte and her husband, Manases Carpio. He also explained that a bank correction had reduced the earlier figure of ₱6.7 billion.

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6:44 PM5-minute read

ABOUT THE COINS.PH CASH-IN RESTRICTION AND WHAT USERS SHOULD CHECK

If you use Coins.ph to receive money or pay bills, a failed cash-in can disrupt plans for the day. Coins.ph has announced that some incoming peso services are temporarily unavailable following a BSP directive to improve its internal controls. Its advisory also identifies services that existing customers can still use.

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12:00 PM5-minute read

ABOUT THE PROPOSED RULES ON SECONDHAND PHONES

A secondhand phone can put a useful device within reach of someone who cannot afford a new one. The problem comes when the buyer has no clear information about where it came from, what condition it is in, or who will fix it if it fails.

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8:35 PM6-minute read

ABOUT THE SUPREME COURT’S DECISION ON THE IMPEACHMENT VOTE THRESHOLD

The Supreme Court dismissed three petitions on September 30 challenging how the Senate impeachment court would count the votes needed to convict Vice President Sara Duterte. The dismissal leaves the Senate’s September 23 ruling in place, but it needs to be read carefully. A case can be dismissed because it does not meet the requirements for the Court to hear it, without settling whether the challenged action is constitutional.

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6:12 AM6-minute read

ABOUT WHAT BASTE DUTERTE SHOULD HAVE CHECKED AS MAYOR

Davao City Mayor Sebastian “Baste” Duterte told the Senate impeachment court on September 29 that he had been unfamiliar with GenCorp Industries Inc. before it came up in the proceedings. He also said he did not know about Vice President Sara Duterte’s declared business interest in the company.

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10:45 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE OCTOBER WATER-RATE INCREASES

Metro Manila households served by Maynilad and Manila Water will see slightly higher water charges beginning October 1. The announced increases are small for many residential customers, but the figures vary by concessionaire and consumption level. That makes it easy to misunderstand a notice expressed only in centavos per cubic meter.

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7:21 AM6-minute read

ABOUT THE NOTE HANDED TO GIBO TEODORO IN SEOUL

Defense Secretary Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro Jr. was answering questions at the Seoul Defense Dialogue on September 8 when a man handed him a note. He read it aloud, challenged its rejection of the 2016 South China Sea ruling and objected to being interrupted that way.

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9:55 AM8-minute read

ABOUT EL NIÑO AND PREPARING FOR LESS RAIN

It can be raining outside while PAGASA warns about El Niño. That can sound confusing when the immediate problem is a wet road or a flooded field. The two warnings describe different periods: the weather happening now and the rainfall conditions that may develop over the coming months.

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5:30 AM8-minute read

ABOUT THE NEW ARREST WARRANTS AGAINST ZALDY CO, MARTIN ROMUALDEZ AND TWO OTHERS

The Sandiganbayan has ordered the arrest of Zaldy Co, Martin Romualdez and two other accused in the plunder case filed on September 7. By Monday evening, authorities had served Romualdez's warrant and carried out booking procedures at Cardinal Santos Medical Center in San Juan. His arrest is a confirmed development; it does not establish that his three co-accused are also in custody.

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3:15 PM8-minute read

ABOUT THE PLUNDER CASE AGAINST MARTIN ROMUALDEZ

The Office of the Ombudsman filed a plunder case against former House Speaker Martin Romualdez at the Sandiganbayan on September 7 over his alleged involvement in flood-control kickbacks. The accusations have now reached the court that will handle the criminal case. Romualdez denies wrongdoing and remains presumed innocent.

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1:18 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE NEW SWS POVERTY NUMBERS

Self-rated poverty and food poverty declined in June, but the figures also show how many Filipino families remain under pressure and why lower household budgets do not necessarily mean life became cheaper.

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2:02 PM11-minute read

ABOUT THE CHILDREN'S SOCIAL MEDIA SAFETY ACT

House Bill No. 9965 would bar children below 13 from having social media accounts, require parental consent for users aged 13 to 17, regulate platform algorithms, and impose fines reaching P50 million. It is still being deliberated in the House.

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12:02 PM7-minute read

ABOUT THE SEALED BIR BOX

Marcos authorized the BIR to comply with the Senate subpoena. That did not open the records to the public or prove the unexplained-wealth allegation.

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MCT DAILY BRIEF

A Bangsamoro voter places a ballot into a ballot box at a polling place.

The first Bangsamoro parliamentary election opens under tight security, commuters face a two-day strike, and families in Coron await identification of the dead.

Good morning. Voters in the Bangsamoro are choosing their first regular parliament today, while election officials deal with a vote-buying allegation against a former Comelec chair who is now a candidate. Commuters may also feel the effects of a two-day transport strike as drivers protest another round of fuel increases. In Coron, the scale of the June Aster tragedy has become clearer, but many families are still waiting for identified remains. Congress begins floor scrutiny of the proposed 2027 national budget this week, and the country’s foreign debt has risen from its March level. Here is what has changed, why it matters and what comes next.

1

1. BARMM VOTES TODAY AS COMELEC ORDERS SHERIFF ABAS TO ANSWER A VOTE-BUYING ALLEGATION

About 2.4 million voters are expected to help choose the Bangsamoro’s first regular parliament today. The election will produce an 80-seat chamber that replaces the interim Bangsamoro Transition Authority after years of delay. It is not an ordinary election for governor. Voters choose district representatives and political parties, while eight seats are reserved for designated sectors. The new parliament will later elect the chief minister.

Security forces are on full alert across the region. Nearly 9,500 police officers had been deployed before election day, with the military, Comelec and local authorities coordinating around polling places and election materials. Officials have also warned against vote-buying, intimidation and false information about the voting machines.

One integrity question now involves former Comelec chair Sheriff Abas, who is running for a parliamentary district seat in Cotabato City. Comelec issued a show-cause order dated September 12 after a social-media post allegedly showed a sample ballot together with three ₱1,000 bills. Abas is being required to explain. The image and the order do not by themselves prove that he bought votes, and Comelec has not yet announced a final finding.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch for verified reports on whether precincts open normally, turnout, security incidents and the transmission and canvassing of results. Comelec’s action after Abas submits his answer will matter more than online accusations. Any claim of fraud should be tied to a complaint, evidence or an official ruling, not a viral post alone.

2

2. A TWO-DAY TRANSPORT STRIKE BEGINS AS DRIVERS PROTEST HIGHER FUEL COSTS

Manibela has called a transport strike for today and Tuesday as drivers brace for another fuel-price increase. Organizers say several jeepney, app-based transport and motorcycle-taxi groups plan to take part. Other organizations and individual drivers may make their own decisions, so the actual disruption can vary widely by city and route.

The protest follows steep pump-price increases last week. Fuel companies are expected to announce another adjustment for September 15, but the final peso-per-liter figures were not yet confirmed at this morning’s cutoff. Manibela is asking the government to review petroleum taxes and oil policy and to provide more immediate relief to drivers.

For commuters, an announced nationwide strike does not automatically mean every jeepney will stop. Some routes may operate normally while others lose vehicles or develop long lines. The effect will depend on participation, replacement rides and local traffic conditions. Drivers, meanwhile, are arguing that higher diesel and gasoline costs are eating into earnings before they can bring money home.

WHAT TO WATCH

Check verified route conditions before leaving, especially local government, school and transport-agency advisories. The two figures that matter most today are how many vehicles actually stop operating and where passengers are stranded. On Tuesday, compare the oil companies’ final price notices with the government’s announced relief measures, not with early estimates alone.

3

3. THE JUNE ASTER DEATH TOLL REACHES 76, BUT MOST FAMILIES STILL NEED IDENTIFICATION

Authorities have now confirmed 76 deaths from the fire aboard the MV June Aster off Coron, Palawan. Forty-three people survived and 13 remained missing in the latest count available this morning. The ferry carried 132 people, according to the corrected accounting, after two people whose names appeared on the original 134-person manifest said they had not boarded.

The number changed sharply after teams recovered dozens of bodies from the burned vessel on September 12. Recovery, however, is not the end of the work. Five of the dead had been formally identified in the latest report, leaving many families to wait before remains can be released and brought home. President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has ordered agencies to speed up identification and assistance.

The cause of the September 9 fire has not been established. One survivor described a possible fire in the cargo hold, but that account is not yet an official finding. Investigators are also trying to locate and obtain a clear account from the captain, who was reported to have survived but did not appear on the published survivor list.

WHAT TO WATCH

The next meaningful updates are the number of formally identified victims, the search for the 13 still missing, and a reconciled list of everyone aboard. After that, the public needs the findings on the fire’s origin, the crew’s response, safety equipment and any responsibility of the operator or regulators. An investigation, not speculation, must establish fault.

4

4. THE PROPOSED ₱7.2-TRILLION 2027 BUDGET MOVES TO HOUSE FLOOR DEBATES

The House of Representatives is scheduled to begin plenary deliberations on the proposed ₱7.2-trillion national budget on Tuesday. Committee hearings ended on September 8. The next stage moves the spending plan to the full chamber, where lawmakers can question agency budgets, defend allocations and offer amendments.

This matters because the National Expenditure Program submitted by the executive branch is still a proposal. It does not become the 2027 budget merely because agencies have completed their hearings. Spending for classrooms, hospitals, transport, cash aid, infrastructure and debt payments can still be changed before the House passes its version and sends it to the Senate.

House leaders say they want second-reading approval by October 6 and third-reading approval by October 9. A fast calendar is not automatically good or bad. The real question is whether major changes are visible, explained and debated before lawmakers vote. A line added late can matter as much as an agency’s headline allocation.

WHAT TO WATCH

Follow the published debate schedule, livestreams, proposed amendments and voting records. Pay particular attention to changes made after the agency hearings and to large lump sums whose projects or recipients are not yet clear. The October 6 and 9 targets will show whether the House keeps its timetable without shortening scrutiny of disputed items.

5

5. PHILIPPINE EXTERNAL DEBT RISES TO $154.9 BILLION

The country’s external debt stood at $154.932 billion at the end of June, according to Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas data. That was about 5.1 percent higher than the $147.35 billion recorded at the end of March. Of the June total, roughly $98.5 billion belonged to the public sector and $56.4 billion to private borrowers.

External debt means money Philippine residents, companies or government institutions owe to lenders outside the country. It is not the same as the national government’s entire debt, and it is not a bill divided among individual Filipinos. Still, foreign-currency borrowing deserves attention because payments can become more expensive in peso terms when the peso weakens.

The debt was equivalent to about 31.6 percent of the economy, up from 30 percent in March. That rise does not by itself prove the country is close to default. The risk also depends on when loans fall due, how much is fixed or floating interest, the country’s dollar reserves and whether export and investment earnings can cover payments.

WHAT TO WATCH

Watch the BSP’s next figures on debt service, short-term maturities and foreign reserves, along with movements in the peso. The most useful test is not whether the headline total rises once, but whether foreign obligations keep growing faster than the economy and the country’s capacity to earn the currency needed to repay them.

BOTTOM LINE

Today’s most immediate questions are practical: whether Bangsamoro voters can cast and count their ballots safely, which transport routes lose vehicles, and when families in Coron receive confirmed identities instead of changing totals. The budget and foreign-debt stories move more slowly, but both involve decisions that will shape public services and future costs. In every case, the next verified record matters more than a confident announcement: official election results, actual route conditions, identified victims, visible budget amendments and complete BSP measures of the country’s ability to pay.

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